Metodologia de avaliação de risco: implementação do gap de durações em portfólios corporativos, a fim de reduzir o risco sistêmico

Autores

  • Oscar Manco López Universidad Nacional de Colombia
  • Santiago Medina Hurtado Universidad nacional de Colombia
  • Oscar Botero Institut Mines Telecom Paris
  • François Legendre Université Paris

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18046/j.estger.2018.146.2659

Palavras-chave:

Indicador chave de risco, Convexidade, Duração, Gap de durações, Imunização

Resumo

Este artigo propõe uma nova metodologia para mensurar a exposição ao risco financeiro das empresas, com base no conceito de duração na gestão de ativos e passivos aplicados nos bancos. Os indicadores de risco bancário medem a dinâmica dos resultados e dos níveis de capital. Com esta pesquisa, demonstra-se como aplicar a metodologia a qualquer empresa ou setor industrial. Além disso, comparam-se os métodos para gerenciar as contas em instituições financeiras e identifica-se sua capacidade de adaptação a qualquer empresa. Do mesmo modo, é feita uma comparação entre os elementos gerenciais utilizados nos mercados financeiros e os ativos das organizações para ver sua capacidade de adaptação. Finalmente, apresenta-se um caso de estudo.

Downloads

Os dados de download ainda não estão disponíveis.

Biografia do Autor

  • Oscar Manco López, Universidad Nacional de Colombia
    Profesor, Facultad de minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia
  • Santiago Medina Hurtado, Universidad nacional de Colombia

    Profesor asociado, Facultad de minas, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, Colombia.

  • Oscar Botero, Institut Mines Telecom Paris

    Investigador, École Doctoral, Institut Mines Telecom Paris, Paris, Francia.

  • François Legendre, Université Paris

    Profesor asociado, École Doctoral, Université Paris-Est, Paris, Francia.

Referências

Albuquerque, R., Eichenbaum, M., Rebelo, S., & Luo, V. (2016). Valuation Risk and Asset Pricing. The Journal of Finance, 71(6), 2861 - 2904.

Armeanu, D., Balu, F. O., & Obreja, C. (2008). Interest rate risk management using duration gap method¬ology. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 518(1), 3-10.

Augustin, L., Sraer, D., & Thesmar, D. (2013). Banks' exposure to interest rate risk and the transmission of monetary policy. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1(187), 157 - 180.

Beck, K., Goldreyer, E., & D'Antonio, L. (2000). Duration gap in the context of a banks strategic planning process. Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions, 13(2), 57-71.

Bierwag, G., & Kaufman, G. (1985). Duration gap for financial institutions. Fi¬nancial Analysts Journal, 41(2), 68-71.

Bierwag, G. (1987). Duration analysis: man¬aging interest rate risk. Ballinger Publishing Company, 4(2), 264 - 287.

Bierwag, G., Kaufman, G., & Toevs, A. (1983). Duration: its develop¬ment and use in bond portfolio manage¬ment. Financial Analysts Journal, 39(4), 15-35.

Blundell Wignall, A., & Atkin¬son, P. (2010). Thinking beyond basel III: necessary solutions for capital and liquidity. OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, 1(1), 9 - 33.

Bodie, K., Kein, A., & Marcus, A. (2002). Princi¬ples of investments. Moscow: Ed. Williams.

Bouchaud, J. P., & Potters, M. (2003). Theory of financial risk and derivative pricing: from statistical physics to risk management. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Copeland, T., Koller, T., & Murrin, J. (2000). Valuation: measuring and managing the value of companies. New York: McKinsey & Company Inc.

Duan, J. C., Moreau, A., & Sealey, C. (1995). Deposit insurance and bank interest rate risk: Pricing and regulatory implications. Journal of Banking & Finance, 19(6), 1091 - 1108.

Duffie, D., & Garleanu, N. (2001). Risk and valuation of collateralized debt obli¬gations. Financial Analysts Journal, 57(1), 41 - 59.

Dumrauf, G. (2013). Finanzas Corporativas. Buenos Aires: Editorial Alfaomega.

Erb, C., Harvey, C., & Viskanta, T. (1996). Political risk, economic risk, and financial risk. Financial Analysts Journal, 52(6), 29 - 46.

Fabozzi, F., & Mann, S. (2012). The handbook of fixed income securities. New Jersey: McGraw Hill Professional.

Fabozzi , F., & Modigliani, F. (2003). Capital markets: institutions and instruments. New Jersey: Pearson College Division.

Fernandez, P. (2008). Metodos de valoración de empresas: PricewaterhouseCoopers Professor of Corporate Finance. Madrid: IESE Business School.

Grable, J. (2000). Financial risk tolerance and additional factors that affect risk tak¬ing in everyday money matters. Journal of Business and Psychology, 14(4), 625-630.

Hjortsø, I. (2016). Imbalances and fiscal policy in a monetary union. Journal of International Economics, 102(2), 225 - 241.

Hull, J., Treepongkaruna, S., Colwell, D., Heaney, R., & Pitt, D. (2013). Fundamentals of futures and options markets. Toronto: Pearson Higher Education.

Jorion, P. (1991). The pricing of exchange rate risk in the stock market. Journal of financial and quantitative analysis, 26(3), 363-376.

Kanchu, T., & Kumar, M. (2013). Risk Management in Banking Sector–an Empirical Study. International Journal of Marketing, Financial Services & Management Research, 2(2), 145 - 158.

Knop, R., de Castro Riesco, M., & Fernandez, J. M. (2006). Manual de instrumentos de renta fija: estructurados de tipos de interes y crédito. Madrid: Ariel.

Lai, Y. J., & Hwang, C. L. (1993). Possibilistic linear programming for manag¬ing interest rate risk. Fuzzy Sets and Sys¬tems, 54(2), 135-146.

Manco, O., Botero, O., & Medina, S. (2016). Risker: Platform Implementation of Complex System Model for Financial Risk Management in Energy Markets. Procedia Computer Science, 83(1), 1078 - 1083.

Martinez Abascal, E., & Guasch Ruiz, J. (2002). Gestion de carteras de renta fija. Madrid: McGraw-Hill Interamericana de España.

Narayana, A., & Mahadeva, K. (2016). Risk Management in Banking Sector-An Empirical Study. Imperial Journal of Interdisciplinary Research, 2(8), 50 - 62.

Neftci, S. (2008). Principles of financial engi¬neering. London: Academic Press.

Piterbarg, V. (2006). Tarns: Models, valu¬ation, risk sensitivities. The Best of Wilmott, 153(2), 153-178.

Power, M. (2008). Organized uncer¬tainty: Designing a world of risk manage¬ment. New York: Oxford University Press .

Qingle, B. Z., & Jie, L. (2001). Fundamental issues of business valuation for high-tech enterprises. The Journal of Assets Ap¬praisal, 6(1), 64-90.

Saunders, A., Cornett, M. M., & McGraw, P. A. (2006). Financial institutions management: A risk management approach. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

Smithson, C. W., Smith, C., & Wilford, D. (1989). Managing financial risk. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 1(4), 27-48.

Stone, B. (1974). Systematic interest-rate risk in a two-index model of returns. Jour¬nal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 9(5), 709-721.

Vyadrova, N. (2015). The bank strategy in the assets and liabilities management. Economics, Management, law: problems and prospects, 38(4), 18-30.

Publicado

2018-03-30

Edição

Seção

Artigos de pesquisa

Como Citar

Metodologia de avaliação de risco: implementação do gap de durações em portfólios corporativos, a fim de reduzir o risco sistêmico. (2018). Estudios Gerenciales, 34(146), 34-41. https://doi.org/10.18046/j.estger.2018.146.2659